Predictive markets TheoryUnderstand the fundamentals of predictive markets, how they aggregate information, and why they often outperform traditional forecasting methods.Learn More
Market Math & ProbabilitiesExplore the mathematical foundations including probability theory, expected utility, random processes, and arbitrage relations that govern market pricing.Learn More
Scoring RulesLearn about Brier, logarithmic, and spherical scoring rules that incentivize accurate probability reporting and enable proper market mechanisms.Learn More
Blockchain ImplementationDiscover how predictive markets are modeled on-chain, including event structures, binary markets, off-chain orders, and EIP-712 typed signatures.Learn More
LMSR Market MakerMaster the Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR), an automated market maker that provides continuous liquidity with bounded loss guarantees.Learn More
Orderbook MarketsUnderstand orderbook-based markets with limit orders, market orders, matching algorithms, and price-time priority mechanisms.Learn More
Conditional Token FrameworkExplore the Conditional Token Framework (CTF) for creating combinatorial markets, position splitting, merging, and complex market structures.Learn More
Negative Risk MarketsLearn how Polemik enables multi-candidate scenarios using binary markets, allowing complex event structures while maintaining simplicity and liquidity.Learn More